This study examined the federal costs of type 2 diabetes under alternative policies, finding that the current CBO projections do not allow for considerations of the long-term effects of improvements in treating chronic conditions.  The authors also discuss the broader implication of these findings for health care reform. 

Huang, E. S., Basu, A., O'Grady, M. J. et al. (2009). Using clinical information to project federal health care spending. Health Affairs, 28(5), w978-990. DOI: 10.1377/hlthaff.28.5.w978. http://content.healthaffairs.org/cgi/content/abstract/hlthaff.28.5.w978v1?maxtoshow=&HITS=10&hits=10&RESULTFORMAT=&author1=huang&andorexactfulltext=and&searchid=1&FIRSTINDEX=0&sortspec=date&resourcetype=HWCIT 

Authors:  Elbert S. Huang, Anirban Basu, Michael J. O'Grady, James C. Capretta.