Capital S R R is equal to the ratio of two quantities. The numerator is the summation of the product of w sub h h and complete sub h h. The denominator is the summation of the product of w sub h h and eligible sub h h.

Capital I R R is equal to the ratio of two quantities. The numerator is the summation of the product of w sub i and complete sub i. The denominator is the summation of the product of w sub i and selected sub i.

Capital O R R is equal to the product of capital S R R and capital I R R.

The model is given by the following equation: log of pi sub a, i, j, k divided by 1 minus pi sub a, i, j, k is equal to the sum of three terms. The first term is given by x transpose sub a, i, j, k times beta sub a. The second term is eta sub a, i. And the third term is nu sub a, i, j.

Lower sub s and a is defined as the exponent of capital L sub s and a divided by the sum of 1 and the exponent of capital L sub s and a. And upper sub s and a is defined as the exponent of capital U sub s and a divided by the sum of 1 and the exponent of capital U sub s and a.

Capital L sub s and a is defined as the difference of two quantities. The first quantity is the natural logarithm of the ratio of Theta sub s and a and 1 minus Theta sub s and a. The second quantity is the product of 1.96 and the square root of MSE sub s and a, which is the mean square error for State-s and age group-a.

Capital U sub s and a is defined as the sum of two quantities. The first quantity is the natural logarithm of the ratio of Theta sub s and a and 1 minus Theta sub s and a. The second quantity is the product of 1.96 and the square root of MSE sub s and a, which is the mean square error for State-s and age group-a.

The mean square error, MSE sub s and a, is defined as the sum of two quantities. The first quantity is the square of the difference of two parts. Part 1 is defined as the natural logarithm of the ratio of P sub s and a and 1 minus P sub s and a. Part 2 is defined as the natural logarithm of the ratio of Theta sub s and a and 1 minus Theta sub s and a. The second quantity is the posterior variance of the natural logarithm of the ratio of P sub s and a and 1 minus P sub s and a.

The average annual rate is defined as 100 times quantity q divided by 2. Quantity q is defined as capital X sub 1 divided by the sum of 0.5 times capital X sub 1 plus capital X sub 2.

The logit of pi hat is equivalent to the logarithm of pi hat divided by the quantity 1 minus pi hat, which is equal to the sum of the following six quantities: negative 5.972664, the product of 0.0873416 and capital X sub k, the product of 0.3385193 and capital X sub w, the product of 1.9552664 and capital X sub s, the product of 1.1267330 and capital X sub m, and the product of 0.1059137 and capital X sub a.

or

Pi hat is equal to the ratio of two quantities. The numerator is 1. The denominator is 1 plus e raised to the negative value of the sum of the following six quantities: negative 5.972664, the product of 0.0873416 and capital X sub k, the product of 0.3385193 and capital X sub w, the product of 1.9552664 and capital X sub s, the product of 1.1267330 and capital X sub m, and the product of 0.1059137 and capital X sub a.

The covariance between the natural logarithm of Theta 1 hat and the natural logarithm of Theta 2 hat is equal to the correlation between the natural logarithm of Theta 1 hat and the natural logarithm of Theta 2 hat multiplied by the square root of the product of the variance v of the natural logarithm of Theta 1 hat and the variance v of the natural logarithm of Theta 2 hat.

Variance v of the natural logarithm of Theta sub i is equal to the square of quantity q. Quantity q is calculated as the difference between capital U sub i and capital L sub i divided by 2 times 1.96, where i takes values 1 and 2.

Capital U sub 1 is defined as the natural logarithm of the ratio of 0.1562 and 1 minus 0.1562, which is negative 1.6868.

Capital L sub 1 is defined as the natural logarithm of the ratio of 0.1100 and 1 minus 0.1100, which is negative 2.0907.

Capital U sub 2 is defined as the natural logarithm of the ratio of 0.1964 and 1 minus 0.1964, which is negative 1.4089.

Capital L sub 2 is defined as the natural logarithm of the ratio of 0.1436 and 1 minus 0.1436, which is negative 1.7857.

The estimate of the log-odds ratio, lor hat sub a, is defined as the natural logarithm of the ratio of two quantities. The numerator of the ratio is p 2 sub a divided by 1 minus p 2 sub a. The denominator of the ratio is p 1 sub a divided by 1 minus p 1 sub a, where p1 sub a is 0.1314 and p 2 sub a is 0.1684. The estimate lor hat sub a is calculated to be 0.2916.