2023‑2024
National Surveys on Drug Use and Health:
Other Sources of State-Level Data

Introduction

A variety of surveys and data systems other than the National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) collect data on substance use and mental health. This document briefly describes one of these other data systems that publishes state estimates and presents selected comparisons with NSDUH state estimates. The state‐level survey that collects data on substance use discussed in this document is the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS), sponsored by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

Another CDC data system that provides state‐level substance use estimates for most, but not all, states is the Youth Risk Behavior Survey (YRBS). Differences between the YRBS and NSDUH sampling designs, as well as the wider range of age groups used in NSDUH state small area estimates mean that comparisons of estimates are not straightforward. However, ignoring these differences and examining estimates at the national level, the YRBS has generally been shown to have higher estimates than NSDUH (Center for Behavioral Health Statistics and Quality [CBHSQ], 2023).1 Note that comparisons between the state YRBS estimates and the NSDUH state small area estimates are not presented because of some of the differences discussed earlier.

When considering the information presented in this document, it is important to understand the methodological differences between BRFSS and NSDUH and the impact that these differences could have on estimates of substance use and mental health. Several studies have compared NSDUH estimates with estimates from other studies and have evaluated how differences may have been affected by differences in survey methodology (Brener et al., 2006; CBHSQ, 2012; Gfroerer et al., 1997; Grucza et al., 2007; Hennessy & Ginsberg, 2001; Miller et al., 2004). These studies suggest that the goals and approaches of surveys are often different, making comparisons among them difficult. Some methodological differences that have been identified as affecting comparisons include populations covered, sampling methods, mode of data collection, survey setting, questionnaires, and estimation methods.

Because of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‑19) pandemic, an additional web data collection mode was introduced to the 2020 NSDUH. The 2023 and 2024 surveys continued the use of multimode data collection procedures that were first implemented in October 2020 for the 2020 NSDUH. In 2023, 36.1 percent of interviews were completed via the web, and 63.9 percent were completed in person. In 2024, 39.8 percent of the interviews were completed via the web, and 60.2 percent were completed in person.2

BRFSS is an annual state‐based system of health surveys that collects information using landline and cellular telephones on health‐related risk behaviors (including cigarette and alcohol use), chronic health conditions, healthcare access, and use of preventive services among the noninstitutionalized adult population aged 18 or older. During 2023 and 2024, all 50 states, the District of Columbia, Guam, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands collected BRFSS data using computer‐assisted telephone interviewing (CATI). Note that in 2023, Kentucky and Pennsylvania were unable to collect enough BRFSS data to meet the minimum requirements for inclusion in the 2023 public dataset. Thus, the estimates shown in this report for Kentucky and Pennsylvania are based on only 2024 data. In 2024, Tennessee was unable to collect enough BRFSS data to meet the minimum requirements for inclusion in the 2024 public dataset. Thus, the estimates for Tennessee are based on only 2023 data. The 2023‑2024 BRFSS state estimates and confidence intervals presented here are design‐based (direct) estimates (i.e., each respondent is weighted in a way that accounts for the survey design).3

In BRFSS and NSDUH, data are collected on the following three common substance use measures in each of the 50 states and the District of Columbia:4

Note that estimates for these measures are compared in this document. The BRFSS and NSDUH questions that were used for the three measures are shown in the next section.

Past month alcohol use is defined consistently in BRFSS and NSDUH as having an alcoholic beverage in the past month. Similarly, past month binge alcohol use is defined consistently in the two surveys as drinking five or more drinks (for males) or four or more drinks (for females) on the same occasion (i.e., at the same time or within a couple of hours of each other) on at least 1 day in the past 30 days.

In NSDUH, past month cigarette use is defined as having smoked part or all of a cigarette during the past 30 days (i.e., the 30 days prior to the interview). In BRFSS, the cigarette use measure reported is current cigarette use, which is defined as having smoked at least 100 cigarettes during the lifetime and indicating smoking every day or some days at the time of the survey. Because of these subtle but present differences in definitions, NSDUH’s cigarette use estimates tend to be higher in that they cover two groups of people that the BRFSS estimates would not: (1) respondents who have not smoked 100 cigarettes in their lifetime but had smoked in the past month, and (2) respondents who had smoked a cigarette earlier in the month but were not smoking at the time of the survey.

This document presents findings comparing 2023‑2024 BRFSS state design‐based estimates with corresponding 2023‑2024 NSDUH state small area estimates5 for past month alcohol use, past month binge alcohol use, and cigarette use (“past month” use for NSDUH and “current” use for BRFSS). In Tables 1, 2, and 3 (shown after this text discussion), the 2023‑2024 BRFSS state design‐based estimates for adults aged 18 or older are shown alongside the 2023‑2024 NSDUH small area estimates for the same age group. The BRFSS estimates were calculated using SUDAAN® Software for Statistical Analysis of Correlated Data (RTI International, 2020) and the publicly available BRFSS SAS® (SAS Institute Inc., 2017) datasets. Tables 1 and 2 also include p values that indicate whether the BRFSS and NSDUH alcohol use and binge alcohol use population percentages are significantly different from each other for a given state. The statistical test used for calculating the p values is described in the Methodology for Comparing BRFSS and NSDUH Estimates section. Users are advised to use caution when interpreting these significant differences due to the methodological differences in the two surveys.

Due to definitional differences in the cigarette use measure, no formal statistical tests of differences between NSDUH and BRFSS estimates were produced.

NSDUH and BRFSS Questions

The NSDUH questions that were used to determine past month alcohol use and past month binge alcohol use were as follows:6

AL01
Have you ever, even once, had a drink of any type of alcoholic beverage? Please do not include times when you only had a sip or two from a drink.

1   Yes
2   No
DK/REF7
ALLAST3
[IF AL01 = 1 OR ALREF = 1] How long has it been since you last drank an alcoholic beverage?

1   Within the past 30 days — that is, since [DATEFILL]
2   More than 30 days ago but within the past 12 months
3   More than 12 months ago
DK/REF
PROGRAMMER: SHOW 12 MONTH CALENDAR
AL08
[IF ALC30DAY = 1 – 30 OR ALCEST30 = (1 – 6, DK OR REF)] During the past 30 days, that is, since [DATEFILL], on how many days did you have [IF RSEX=5 THEN FILL 5 IF RSEX=9 THEN FILL 4] or more drinks on the same occasion? By ‘occasion,’ we mean at the same time or within a couple of hours of each other.

# OF DAYS: _____ days in the past 30 days [RANGE: 0 ‑ 30]
DK/REF
PROGRAMMER: SHOW 30 DAY CALENDAR

The BRFSS questions that were used to determine past month alcohol use and past month binge alcohol use were as follows:8

CALC.01
During the past 30 days, how many days per week or per month did you have at least one drink of any alcoholic beverage?

INTERVIEWER NOTE: A 40‑ounce beer would count as 3 drinks, or a cocktail with 2 shots would count as 2 drinks.

1 _ _ Days per week
2 _ _ Days in past 30 days
888 No drinks in past 30 days
777 Don’t know / Not sure
999 Refused
CALC.03
Considering all types of alcoholic beverages, how many times during the past 30 days did you have X [CATI X = 5 for men, X = 4 for women] or more drinks on an occasion?

_ _ Number of times
77 Don’t know / Not sure
88 No days
99 Refused

The NSDUH questions that were used to determine past month cigarette use were as follows:

CG01
Have you ever smoked part or all of a cigarette?

1   Yes
2   No
DK/REF
CG05
[IF CG01 = 1 OR CGREF1 = 1] Now think about the past 30 days, that is, from [DATEFILL] up to and including today. During the past 30 days, have you smoked part or all of a cigarette?

1   Yes
2   No
DK/REF
PROGRAMMER: SHOW 30 DAY CALENDAR

The BRFSS questions that were used to determine current cigarette use were as follows:

CTOB.01
Have you smoked at least 100 cigarettes in your entire life?

1   Yes
2   No
7   Don’t know / Not sure
9   Refused

INTERVIEWER NOTE: Do not include: electronic cigarettes (e‑cigarettes, njoy, bluetip, JUUL), herbal cigarettes, cigars, cigarillos, little cigars, pipes, bidis, kreteks, water pipes (hookahs) or marijuana. 5 packs = 100 cigarettes.
CTOB.02
Do you now smoke cigarettes every day, some days, or not at all?

1   Every day
2   Some days
3   Not at all
7   Don’t know / Not sure
9   Refused

Methodology for Comparing BRFSS and NSDUH Population Percentages

Let Pi sub b be the expected value9 of the BRFSS estimate and Pi sub n be the expected value of the NSDUH estimate. To test the null hypothesis of no difference, that is, Pi sub b is equal to pi sub n. or equivalently the log‐odds ratio is zero (Log-odds ratio lor is equal to zero.), where log-odds ratio lor is defined as log-odds ratio, lor, is defined as the natural logarithm of the ratio of two quantities: The numerator of the ratio is pi sub b divided by 1 minus pi sub b. The denominator of the ratio is pi sub n divided by 1 minus pi sub n., and ln denotes the natural logarithm. An estimate of log-odds ratio lor is given by log-odds ratio hat is defined as the natural logarithm of the ratio of two quantities: The numerator of the ratio is pi hat sub b divided by 1 minus pi hat sub b. The denominator of the ratio is pi hat sub n divided by 1 minus pi hat sub n., where pi hat sub b and pi hat sub n are the 2023‑2024 BRFSS state‐level design‐based estimates and the 2023‑2024 NSDUH state model‐based estimates, respectively (as given in Tables 1 and 2). To compute the variance of the estimate of the log-odds ratio, lor hat, that is, variance v of the estimate of the log-odds ratio, lor hat, let Theta sub b hat be defined as the ratio of pi hat sub b and 1 minus pi hat sub b and Theta sub n hat be defined as the ratio of pi hat sub n and 1 minus pi hat sub n, then

Equation 1. Click link below to access long description..

View Equation 1 long description

The covariance term can be assumed to be zero because the BRFSS and NSDUH samples are independent.

The quantity variance v of the natural logarithm of Theta sub n hat can be obtained by using the 95 percent Bayesian confidence intervals in Tables 1 and 2. For this purpose, let (lower sub n and upper sub n) denote the 95 percent Bayesian confidence interval10 for a given state:

Equation 2. Click link below to access long description.,

View Equation 2 long description

where Capital U sub n is the natural logarithm of upper sub n divided by 1 minus upper sub n, and capital L sub n is the natural logarithm of lower sub n divided by 1 minus lower sub n..

The quantity variance v of the natural logarithm of Theta hat sub b can be obtained by using the 95 percent confidence intervals in Tables 1 and 2. For this purpose, let (lower sub b and upper sub b) denote the 95 percent BRFSS confidence interval for a given state, then variance v of pi hat sub b is given by

Equation 3. Click link below to access long description..

View Equation 3 long description

Now, using the first‐order Taylor series approximation,11 variance v of the natural logarithm of Theta hat sub b can be calculated from variance v of pi hat sub b as follows:

Equation 4. Click link below to access long description..

View Equation 4 long description

The p value that is given in Tables 1 and 2 for testing the null hypothesis of no difference (log-odds ratio lor equals zero.) is provided by the p value, which is equal to 2 times the probability of realizing a standard normal variate capital Z greater than or equal to the absolute value of a quantity z., where capital Z is a standard normal random variate, Quantity z is the estimate of the log-odds ratio, lor hat, divided by the square root of the sum of the variance v of the natural logarithm of Theta sub b hat and the variance v of the natural logarithm of Theta sub n hat., and absolute value of quantity z denotes the absolute value of quantity z.

Results: Alcohol Use, Binge Alcohol Use, and Cigarette Use

As seen in Table 1, for past month alcohol use, the 2023‑2024 NSDUH estimates and the 2023‑2024 BRFSS estimates were statistically significantly different (i.e., at the 5 percent level of significance) for three states (Delaware, Texas, and Wyoming). Overall, these two sets of estimates were highly correlated (correlation coefficient = 0.93). Figures 1 and 2, which follow this document’s three tables, were created by using state estimates from BRFSS and NSDUH and categorizing the states into five quintiles similar to the process described on the title page of 2023‑2024 National Surveys on Drug Use and Health: National Maps of Prevalence Estimates, by State.12

As can be seen in Figures 1 and 2, seven states with the highest estimates of alcohol use (states shown in orange) were the same in the two surveys: Colorado, District of Columbia, Minnesota, Montana, New Hampshire, Vermont, and Wisconsin. Similarly, eight states with the lowest estimates of alcohol use were the same in the two surveys: Alabama, Arkansas, Idaho, Kentucky, Mississippi, Oklahoma, Utah, and West Virginia. The lowest estimate of past month alcohol use was in Utah for BRFSS and NSDUH (see Table 1 and Figures 1 and 2).

The NSDUH estimates of past month binge alcohol use were significantly larger than the BRFSS estimates for all states except Alaska (see Table 2). As noted previously, NSDUH and BRFSS used the same thresholds for binge alcohol use among males and females in the 2023 and 2024 surveys; therefore, these differences can be partly attributed to differences in data collection methodologies of BRFSS and NSDUH. First, the 2023‑2024 NSDUHs used audio computer‐assisted self‐interviewing (ACASI) for in‑person data collection and self‐administration for web data collection, whereas BRFSS used CATI. Self‐administration (including ACASI for in‑person data collection) can increase respondent privacy for reporting of sensitive behaviors (e.g., binge drinking) and therefore may yield higher prevalence estimates than interviewer‐administered modes such as CATI (Kreuter et al., 2008; Lind et al., 2013; Tourangeau & Smith, 1996; Turner et al., 1998). Although the NSDUH estimates were larger, these two sets of estimates are moderately correlated (correlation coefficient = 0.77).

Figures 3 and 4 were created using the same method used to produce Figures 1 and 2. As can be seen in Figures 3 and 4, six states with the highest estimates of binge alcohol use (states shown in orange) were the same in the two surveys: District of Columbia, Illinois, Iowa, Nebraska, North Dakota, and Wisconsin. Five states with the lowest estimates of binge alcohol use were the same in the two surveys: Kentucky, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Utah, and West Virginia.

Table 3 shows the NSDUH estimates of past month cigarette use and the BRFSS estimates of current cigarette use. Statistical tests to examine significant differences between the NSDUH and BRFSS cigarette use population percentages are not included because the definitions are different, as discussed earlier in this document. Although the NSDUH estimates tended to be larger generally, these two sets of estimates were highly correlated (correlation coefficient = 0.88).

Figures 5 and 6 were created using the same method used to produce Figures 1 through 4. As can be seen in Figures 5 and 6, nine states with the highest estimates of cigarette use (states shown in orange) were the same in the two surveys: Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and West Virginia. Eight states with the lowest estimates of cigarette use were the same in the two surveys: California, Connecticut, Hawaii, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Utah, and Washington.

Sample Size Comparisons

The BRFSS estimates are design based, whereas the NSDUH estimates are model based. Both sets of estimates are based on 2 years of pooled data (2023‑2024). The BRFSS sample sizes for a given state were, in general, much larger than the sample sizes for NSDUH. In the 2023‑2024 NSDUHs, the sample sizes for adults aged 18 or older in the states ranged from approximately 1,240 to 7,100 respondents, with a median sample size of 1,660.13 For the 2023‑2024 BRFSS, states had larger sample sizes as compared with their counterparts in NSDUH. Overall, the BRFSS sample sizes for the states varied from a low of 3,513 respondents in Pennsylvania14 to a high of 61,262 in New York, with a median sample size of 14,468.15 Sample size differences of this magnitude explain why the NSDUH Bayesian confidence intervals were generally wider than the corresponding BRFSS design‐based confidence intervals.

References

Brener, N. D., Eaton, D. K., Kann, L., Grunbaum, J. A., Gross, L. A., Kyle, T. M., & Ross, J. G. (2006). The association of survey setting and mode with self‐reported health risk behaviors among high school students. Public Opinion Quarterly, 70(3), 354‑374. https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfl003 You are leaving a SAMHSA funded site and entering a non-federal Web site.

Center for Behavioral Health Statistics and Quality. (2012). Comparing and evaluating youth substance use estimates from the National Survey on Drug Use and Health and other surveys (HHS Publication No. SMA 12‑4727, Methodology Series M‑9). Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration. https://www.samhsa.gov/data/sites/default/files/NSDUH‐M9‑Youth‐2012/NSDUH‐M9‑Youth‐2012.pdf

Center for Behavioral Health Statistics and Quality. (2023). Chapter 5: Other sources of data. In 2022 National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH): Methodological summary and definitions. https://www.samhsa.gov/data/sites/default/files/reports/rpt42729/2022‐nsduh‐method‐summary‐defs/2022‐nsduh‐method‐summary‐defs‐110123.pdf

Gfroerer, J., Wright, D., & Kopstein, A. (1997). Prevalence of youth substance use: The impact of methodological differences between two national surveys. Drug and Alcohol Dependence, 47(1), 19‑30. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0376‐8716(97)00063‑x You are leaving a SAMHSA funded site and entering a non-federal Web site.

Grucza, R. A., Abbacchi, A. M., Przybeck, T. R., & Gfroerer, J. C. (2007). Discrepancies in estimates of prevalence and correlates of substance use and disorders between two national surveys. Addiction, 102(4), 623‑629. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1360‐0443.2007.01745.x You are leaving a SAMHSA funded site and entering a non-federal Web site.

Hennessy, K. H., & Ginsberg, C. (2001). Substance use survey data collection methodologies: Introduction. Journal of Drug Issues, 31(3), 595‑597. https://doi.org/10.1177/002204260103100301 You are leaving a SAMHSA funded site and entering a non-federal Web site.

Kreuter, F., Presser, S., & Tourangeau, R. (2008). Social desirability bias in CAI, IVR, and web surveys: The effects of mode and question sensitivity. Public Opinion Quarterly, 72(5), 847‑865. https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfn063 You are leaving a SAMHSA funded site and entering a non-federal Web site.

Lind, L., Schober, M., Conrad, F., & Reichert, H. (2013). Why do survey respondents disclose more when computers ask the questions? Public Opinion Quarterly, 77(4), 888‑935. https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nft038 You are leaving a SAMHSA funded site and entering a non-federal Web site.

Miller, J. W., Gfroerer, J. C., Brewer, R. D., Naimi, T. S., Mokdad, A., & Giles, W. H. (2004). Prevalence of adult binge drinking: A comparison of two national surveys. American Journal of Preventive Medicine, 27(3), 197‑204. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0749‐3797(04)00121‑7 You are leaving a SAMHSA funded site and entering a non-federal Web site.

RTI International. (2020). SUDAAN® language manual, release 11.0.4.

SAS Institute Inc. (2017). SAS/STAT software: Release 14.1.

Tourangeau, R., & Smith, T. W. (1996). Asking sensitive questions: The impact of data collection mode, question format, and question context. Public Opinion Quarterly, 60(2), 275‑304. https://doi.org/10.1086/297751 You are leaving a SAMHSA funded site and entering a non-federal Web site.

Turner, C. F., Ku, L., Rogers, S. M., Lindberg, L. D., Pleck, J. H., & Sonenstein, F. L. (1998). Adolescent sexual behavior, drug use, and violence: Increased reporting with computer survey technology. Science, 280(5365), 867‑873. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.280.5365.867 You are leaving a SAMHSA funded site and entering a non-federal Web site.

Table 1 – Alcohol Use in the Past Month: Among People Aged 18 or Older, by State: Annual Average Percentages, BRFSS and NSDUH, 2023‑2024
State 2023‑2024 BRFSS
(Estimate)
2023‑2024 BRFSS
(95% Confidence Interval)
2023‑2024 NSDUH
(Estimate)
2023‑2024 NSDUH
(95% Confidence Interval)
P Value
Alabama 44.75 (43.40 ‑ 46.10) 44.45 (41.47 ‑ 47.47) 0.858
Alaska 53.34 (51.91 ‑ 54.76) 50.45 (46.73 ‑ 54.18) 0.157
Arizona 50.87 (49.68 ‑ 52.06) 47.22 (43.51 ‑ 50.96) 0.068
Arkansas 42.35 (41.07 ‑ 43.64) 43.21 (39.84 ‑ 46.64) 0.645
California 50.90 (49.83 ‑ 51.97) 51.48 (49.68 ‑ 53.27) 0.585
Colorado 60.04 (59.17 ‑ 60.91) 58.22 (55.04 ‑ 61.35) 0.275
Connecticut 57.74 (56.52 ‑ 58.96) 56.73 (52.47 ‑ 60.89) 0.652
Delaware 52.38 (50.72 ‑ 54.03) 57.24 (54.05 ‑ 60.38) 0.008
District of Columbia 66.71 (65.02 ‑ 68.40) 64.14 (60.57 ‑ 67.57) 0.192
Florida 53.07 (51.76 ‑ 54.38) 51.31 (49.15 ‑ 53.48) 0.174
Georgia 49.25 (48.00 ‑ 50.50) 48.74 (45.61 ‑ 51.89) 0.767
Hawaii 48.42 (47.19 ‑ 49.66) 44.97 (41.25 ‑ 48.75) 0.088
Idaho 46.49 (45.20 ‑ 47.77) 45.30 (41.72 ‑ 48.91) 0.542
Illinois 54.52 (53.51 ‑ 55.52) 54.54 (52.16 ‑ 56.90) 0.985
Indiana 49.31 (48.47 ‑ 50.15) 47.04 (43.96 ‑ 50.14) 0.165
Iowa 56.45 (55.48 ‑ 57.41) 53.16 (49.70 ‑ 56.58) 0.070
Kansas 52.50 (51.56 ‑ 53.44) 53.87 (50.40 ‑ 57.29) 0.455
Kentucky1 41.80 (40.04 ‑ 43.56) 44.92 (41.66 ‑ 48.22) 0.100
Louisiana 50.35 (49.04 ‑ 51.65) 49.50 (46.23 ‑ 52.77) 0.638
Maine 55.31 (54.39 ‑ 56.24) 56.37 (52.12 ‑ 60.53) 0.633
Maryland 52.31 (51.39 ‑ 53.23) 51.91 (47.91 ‑ 55.88) 0.847
Massachusetts 58.69 (57.64 ‑ 59.75) 56.15 (52.12 ‑ 60.10) 0.225
Michigan 52.24 (51.23 ‑ 53.24) 54.69 (52.41 ‑ 56.96) 0.053
Minnesota 58.24 (57.43 ‑ 59.05) 57.49 (53.98 ‑ 60.93) 0.681
Mississippi 42.44 (40.89 ‑ 43.98) 40.48 (37.19 ‑ 43.86) 0.300
Missouri 49.71 (48.56 ‑ 50.85) 52.10 (48.68 ‑ 55.49) 0.193
Montana 58.94 (57.87 ‑ 60.00) 57.01 (53.42 ‑ 60.53) 0.309
Nebraska 56.65 (55.79 ‑ 57.52) 56.20 (52.93 ‑ 59.43) 0.793
Nevada 52.69 (50.40 ‑ 54.97) 51.00 (47.61 ‑ 54.39) 0.419
New Hampshire 61.13 (59.82 ‑ 62.43) 61.81 (58.02 ‑ 65.47) 0.735
New Jersey 54.88 (53.77 ‑ 55.98) 53.79 (50.73 ‑ 56.82) 0.510
New Mexico 46.53 (44.66 ‑ 48.41) 49.37 (45.91 ‑ 52.85) 0.158
New York 52.71 (52.04 ‑ 53.37) 51.57 (49.36 ‑ 53.77) 0.331
North Carolina 47.35 (45.91 ‑ 48.79) 48.97 (45.91 ‑ 52.05) 0.348
North Dakota 57.45 (56.23 ‑ 58.68) 60.76 (57.11 ‑ 64.29) 0.092
Ohio 51.94 (50.96 ‑ 52.92) 53.15 (50.82 ‑ 55.47) 0.348
Oklahoma 42.32 (41.29 ‑ 43.36) 44.77 (41.52 ‑ 48.05) 0.161
Oregon 55.32 (54.16 ‑ 56.49) 56.00 (52.28 ‑ 59.66) 0.730
Pennsylvania1 52.16 (49.78 ‑ 54.55) 54.68 (52.13 ‑ 57.21) 0.157
Rhode Island 57.08 (55.67 ‑ 58.49) 58.89 (54.99 ‑ 62.69) 0.391
South Carolina 50.09 (48.91 ‑ 51.26) 52.93 (48.93 ‑ 56.89) 0.180
South Dakota 57.51 (55.24 ‑ 59.77) 54.41 (50.65 ‑ 58.13) 0.165
Tennessee1 47.72 (45.89 ‑ 49.55) 44.80 (41.36 ‑ 48.30) 0.146
Texas 49.65 (48.39 ‑ 50.91) 45.43 (43.51 ‑ 47.36) 0.000
Utah 32.45 (31.63 ‑ 33.27) 31.02 (28.30 ‑ 33.87) 0.340
Vermont 61.12 (59.89 ‑ 62.35) 61.42 (57.37 ‑ 65.33) 0.887
Virginia 51.60 (50.30 ‑ 52.90) 51.57 (48.50 ‑ 54.63) 0.987
Washington 56.29 (55.71 ‑ 56.87) 54.45 (50.97 ‑ 57.89) 0.303
West Virginia 39.11 (37.91 ‑ 40.30) 40.92 (37.51 ‑ 44.42) 0.329
Wisconsin 57.95 (57.04 ‑ 58.86) 59.50 (56.06 ‑ 62.85) 0.391
Wyoming 50.50 (49.12 ‑ 51.89) 55.95 (51.71 ‑ 60.10) 0.017

NOTE: NSDUH estimates, along with 95 percent Bayesian confidence (credible) intervals, are based on the survey‐weighted hierarchical Bayes estimation approach and are generated by Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques. BRFSS estimates are based on a survey‐weighted direct estimation approach.

NOTE: The p value is the probability of more extreme values than the observed difference between the BRFSS and NSDUH estimates under the null hypothesis of no difference.

1 In 2023, Kentucky and Pennsylvania were unable to collect enough BRFSS data to meet the minimum requirements for inclusion in the 2023 annual aggregate dataset. Thus, the BRFSS estimates for Kentucky and Pennsylvania are based on only the 2024 BRFSS data. In 2024, Tennessee was unable to collect enough BRFSS data to meet the minimum requirements for inclusion in the 2024 annual aggregate dataset. Thus, the BRFSS estimate for Tennessee are based on only the 2023 BRFSS data.

Source: SAMHSA, Center for Behavioral Health Statistics and Quality, National Surveys on Drug Use and Health, 2023‑2024; U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, 2023‑2024.

Table 2 – Binge Alcohol Use in the Past Month: Among People Aged 18 or Older, by State: Annual Average Percentages, BRFSS and NSDUH, 2023‑2024
State 2023‑2024 BRFSS
(Estimate)
2023‑2024 BRFSS
(95% Confidence Interval)
2023‑2024 NSDUH
(Estimate)
2023‑2024 NSDUH
(95% Confidence Interval)
P Value
Alabama 14.08 (13.05 ‑ 15.10) 22.63 (20.26 ‑ 25.20) 0.000
Alaska 17.76 (16.60 ‑ 18.91) 19.62 (17.00 ‑ 22.53) 0.212
Arizona 14.96 (14.08 ‑ 15.83) 21.17 (18.54 ‑ 24.06) 0.000
Arkansas 13.90 (12.93 ‑ 14.87) 19.75 (17.51 ‑ 22.20) 0.000
California 14.64 (13.91 ‑ 15.37) 22.89 (21.47 ‑ 24.37) 0.000
Colorado 17.78 (17.09 ‑ 18.47) 23.62 (21.07 ‑ 26.38) 0.000
Connecticut 14.92 (14.05 ‑ 15.78) 21.97 (18.99 ‑ 25.27) 0.000
Delaware 13.36 (12.18 ‑ 14.53) 23.54 (21.05 ‑ 26.22) 0.000
District of Columbia 26.23 (24.64 ‑ 27.82) 31.61 (28.29 ‑ 35.12) 0.004
Florida 14.31 (13.35 ‑ 15.27) 21.85 (20.29 ‑ 23.49) 0.000
Georgia 13.71 (12.82 ‑ 14.59) 22.56 (20.26 ‑ 25.03) 0.000
Hawaii 17.24 (16.29 ‑ 18.20) 20.32 (17.77 ‑ 23.13) 0.027
Idaho 14.44 (13.48 ‑ 15.40) 20.25 (17.72 ‑ 23.03) 0.000
Illinois 18.33 (17.55 ‑ 19.10) 26.45 (24.47 ‑ 28.54) 0.000
Indiana 14.95 (14.33 ‑ 15.57) 20.69 (18.49 ‑ 23.09) 0.000
Iowa 20.46 (19.64 ‑ 21.29) 26.04 (23.34 ‑ 28.94) 0.000
Kansas 16.22 (15.50 ‑ 16.94) 24.01 (21.43 ‑ 26.79) 0.000
Kentucky1 13.63 (12.33 ‑ 14.93) 19.56 (17.14 ‑ 22.24) 0.000
Louisiana 16.56 (15.59 ‑ 17.54) 25.47 (22.76 ‑ 28.38) 0.000
Maine 14.81 (14.09 ‑ 15.52) 21.09 (18.26 ‑ 24.22) 0.000
Maryland 12.93 (12.30 ‑ 13.56) 21.86 (19.15 ‑ 24.84) 0.000
Massachusetts 16.06 (15.28 ‑ 16.84) 22.55 (19.70 ‑ 25.69) 0.000
Michigan 15.25 (14.50 ‑ 15.99) 24.48 (22.75 ‑ 26.29) 0.000
Minnesota 17.53 (16.91 ‑ 18.14) 23.84 (21.18 ‑ 26.72) 0.000
Mississippi 13.16 (12.08 ‑ 14.23) 21.67 (19.31 ‑ 24.24) 0.000
Missouri 16.26 (15.37 ‑ 17.14) 24.91 (22.28 ‑ 27.74) 0.000
Montana 19.93 (19.02 ‑ 20.85) 24.42 (21.60 ‑ 27.48) 0.003
Nebraska 19.38 (18.65 ‑ 20.10) 26.27 (23.66 ‑ 29.06) 0.000
Nevada 15.70 (14.05 ‑ 17.34) 25.01 (22.22 ‑ 28.01) 0.000
New Hampshire 15.53 (14.46 ‑ 16.61) 22.68 (19.95 ‑ 25.65) 0.000
New Jersey 14.68 (13.91 ‑ 15.44) 22.60 (20.30 ‑ 25.09) 0.000
New Mexico 13.91 (12.52 ‑ 15.29) 21.14 (18.65 ‑ 23.86) 0.000
New York 15.09 (14.64 ‑ 15.54) 21.04 (19.43 ‑ 22.74) 0.000
North Carolina 13.44 (12.45 ‑ 14.43) 20.98 (18.85 ‑ 23.28) 0.000
North Dakota 20.29 (19.27 ‑ 21.31) 27.08 (24.19 ‑ 30.17) 0.000
Ohio 15.83 (15.11 ‑ 16.55) 24.95 (23.13 ‑ 26.85) 0.000
Oklahoma 13.22 (12.47 ‑ 13.97) 20.41 (18.09 ‑ 22.94) 0.000
Oregon 14.53 (13.72 ‑ 15.34) 21.35 (18.80 ‑ 24.15) 0.000
Pennsylvania1 16.38 (14.57 ‑ 18.19) 24.34 (22.41 ‑ 26.38) 0.000
Rhode Island 16.62 (15.53 ‑ 17.71) 23.49 (20.71 ‑ 26.51) 0.000
South Carolina 15.02 (14.15 ‑ 15.90) 25.71 (22.54 ‑ 29.15) 0.000
South Dakota 18.92 (17.10 ‑ 20.74) 24.31 (21.39 ‑ 27.48) 0.002
Tennessee1 13.59 (12.29 ‑ 14.89) 20.66 (18.21 ‑ 23.35) 0.000
Texas 16.65 (15.64 ‑ 17.66) 21.66 (20.24 ‑ 23.16) 0.000
Utah 11.57 (10.97 ‑ 12.16) 14.67 (12.74 ‑ 16.83) 0.002
Vermont 16.11 (15.21 ‑ 17.01) 24.13 (21.05 ‑ 27.51) 0.000
Virginia 13.46 (12.57 ‑ 14.35) 21.03 (18.87 ‑ 23.35) 0.000
Washington 15.11 (14.69 ‑ 15.54) 19.19 (16.84 ‑ 21.78) 0.001
West Virginia 12.96 (12.06 ‑ 13.86) 20.21 (17.75 ‑ 22.92) 0.000
Wisconsin 18.74 (17.99 ‑ 19.50) 26.51 (23.80 ‑ 29.41) 0.000
Wyoming 15.53 (14.44 ‑ 16.62) 23.80 (20.82 ‑ 27.07) 0.000

NOTE: Binge alcohol use is defined as drinking five or more drinks (for males) or four or more drinks (for females) on the same occasion (i.e., at the same time or within a couple of hours of each other) on at least 1 day in the past 30 days.

NOTE: NSDUH estimates, along with 95 percent Bayesian confidence (credible) intervals, are based on the survey‐weighted hierarchical Bayes estimation approach and are generated by Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques. BRFSS estimates are based on a survey‐weighted direct estimation approach.

NOTE: The p value is the probability of more extreme values than the observed difference between the BRFSS and NSDUH estimates under the null hypothesis of no difference.

1 In 2023, Kentucky and Pennsylvania were unable to collect enough BRFSS data to meet the minimum requirements for inclusion in the 2023 annual aggregate dataset. Thus, the BRFSS estimates for Kentucky and Pennsylvania are based on only the 2024 BRFSS data. In 2024, Tennessee was unable to collect enough BRFSS data to meet the minimum requirements for inclusion in the 2024 annual aggregate dataset. Thus, the BRFSS estimate for Tennessee are based on only the 2023 BRFSS data.

Source: SAMHSA, Center for Behavioral Health Statistics and Quality, National Surveys on Drug Use and Health, 2023‑2024; U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, 2023‑2024.

Table 3 – Cigarette Use: Among People Aged 18 or Older, by State: Annual Average Percentages, BRFSS and NSDUH, 2023‑2024
State 2023‑2024 BRFSS1
(Estimate)
2023‑2024 BRFSS1
(95% Confidence Interval)
2023‑2024 NSDUH2
(Estimate)
2023‑2024 NSDUH2
(95% Confidence Interval)
Alabama 14.11 (13.14 ‑ 15.09) 21.57 (19.14 ‑ 24.21)
Alaska 15.00 (13.98 ‑ 16.03) 13.85 (11.76 ‑ 16.24)
Arizona 10.06   (9.38 ‑ 10.74) 14.97 (12.76 ‑ 17.49)
Arkansas 15.75 (14.81 ‑ 16.68) 20.63 (18.22 ‑ 23.27)
California   8.14 (7.59 ‑ 8.69)   9.83   (8.93 ‑ 10.81)
Colorado   9.92   (9.38 ‑ 10.46) 11.92 (10.12 ‑ 13.98)
Connecticut   8.67 (8.00 ‑ 9.33) 12.56 (10.44 ‑ 15.05)
Delaware 10.71   (9.75 ‑ 11.67) 15.92 (13.86 ‑ 18.22)
District of Columbia   9.14   (8.01 ‑ 10.27) 12.69 (10.68 ‑ 15.01)
Florida 10.57   (9.75 ‑ 11.40) 12.87 (11.58 ‑ 14.27)
Georgia 11.66 (10.88 ‑ 12.45) 18.61 (16.41 ‑ 21.03)
Hawaii   8.60 (7.94 ‑ 9.26) 10.88   (8.93 ‑ 13.18)
Idaho 10.05   (9.26 ‑ 10.83) 13.78 (11.67 ‑ 16.21)
Illinois 10.61   (9.99 ‑ 11.23) 14.89 (13.31 ‑ 16.61)
Indiana 14.16 (13.57 ‑ 14.75) 18.81 (16.63 ‑ 21.21)
Iowa 13.29 (12.63 ‑ 13.95) 18.25 (15.84 ‑ 20.93)
Kansas 13.80 (13.13 ‑ 14.46) 14.49 (12.43 ‑ 16.82)
Kentucky3 17.18 (15.83 ‑ 18.53) 21.94 (19.51 ‑ 24.57)
Louisiana 15.40 (14.46 ‑ 16.34) 21.98 (19.44 ‑ 24.74)
Maine 14.18 (13.52 ‑ 14.84) 17.89 (15.17 ‑ 20.98)
Maryland   8.50 (8.00 ‑ 9.00) 10.67   (8.82 ‑ 12.85)
Massachusetts   9.31 (8.67 ‑ 9.95) 10.81   (8.91 ‑ 13.06)
Michigan 13.53 (12.82 ‑ 14.23) 17.54 (15.92 ‑ 19.30)
Minnesota 11.24 (10.73 ‑ 11.75) 12.88 (10.88 ‑ 15.19)
Mississippi 14.86 (13.70 ‑ 16.02) 20.82 (18.39 ‑ 23.48)
Missouri 14.98 (14.14 ‑ 15.81) 19.63 (17.23 ‑ 22.28)
Montana 12.31 (11.57 ‑ 13.04) 15.99 (13.53 ‑ 18.80)
Nebraska 12.14 (11.58 ‑ 12.71) 12.58 (10.77 ‑ 14.65)
Nevada 13.04 (11.39 ‑ 14.69) 16.16 (13.99 ‑ 18.60)
New Hampshire   9.77   (8.97 ‑ 10.57) 13.51 (11.44 ‑ 15.90)
New Jersey   8.88 (8.27 ‑ 9.49) 11.26   (9.59 ‑ 13.19)
New Mexico 12.08 (10.89 ‑ 13.28) 17.15 (14.71 ‑ 19.90)
New York   9.75   (9.37 ‑ 10.13) 12.26 (11.03 ‑ 13.61)
North Carolina 12.35 (11.34 ‑ 13.37) 15.96 (14.04 ‑ 18.08)
North Dakota 12.84 (11.99 ‑ 13.69) 16.61 (14.31 ‑ 19.20)
Ohio 14.61 (13.91 ‑ 15.31) 18.86 (17.17 ‑ 20.66)
Oklahoma 14.90 (14.15 ‑ 15.65) 20.23 (17.65 ‑ 23.09)
Oregon 10.62   (9.90 ‑ 11.33) 14.85 (12.68 ‑ 17.31)
Pennsylvania3 11.70 (10.31 ‑ 13.08) 16.08 (14.42 ‑ 17.90)
Rhode Island   9.69   (8.91 ‑ 10.47) 13.25 (11.15 ‑ 15.68)
South Carolina 12.33 (11.56 ‑ 13.10) 17.06 (14.50 ‑ 19.96)
South Dakota 14.36 (12.79 ‑ 15.93) 15.08 (12.78 ‑ 17.70)
Tennessee3 16.99 (15.54 ‑ 18.43) 19.13 (16.63 ‑ 21.91)
Texas 10.60   (9.83 ‑ 11.37) 14.00 (12.79 ‑ 15.31)
Utah   5.83 (5.41 ‑ 6.24)   9.04   (7.61 ‑ 10.71)
Vermont 10.95 (10.12 ‑ 11.78) 14.63 (12.15 ‑ 17.52)
Virginia 10.96 (10.16 ‑ 11.76) 12.71 (11.08 ‑ 14.53)
Washington   8.46 (8.15 ‑ 8.78) 11.84   (9.98 ‑ 13.99)
West Virginia 20.62 (19.59 ‑ 21.65) 22.69 (19.94 ‑ 25.70)
Wisconsin 11.98 (11.42 ‑ 12.54) 14.36 (12.25 ‑ 16.76)
Wyoming 13.35 (12.41 ‑ 14.28) 18.34 (15.56 ‑ 21.48)

NOTE: NSDUH estimates, along with 95 percent Bayesian confidence (credible) intervals, are based on the survey‐weighted hierarchical Bayes estimation approach and are generated by Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques. BRFSS estimates are based on a survey‐weighted direct estimation approach.

1 BRFSS respondents were classified as current smokers if they reported having smoked at least 100 cigarettes during their lifetime and indicated that they smoked every day or some days at the time of the survey.

2 NSDUH respondents were classified as past month cigarette users if they smoked all or part of a cigarette during the past 30 days.

3 In 2023, Kentucky and Pennsylvania were unable to collect enough BRFSS data to meet the minimum requirements for inclusion in the 2023 annual aggregate dataset. Thus, the BRFSS estimates for Kentucky and Pennsylvania are based on only the 2024 BRFSS data. In 2024, Tennessee was unable to collect enough BRFSS data to meet the minimum requirements for inclusion in the 2024 annual aggregate dataset. Thus, the BRFSS estimate for Tennessee are based on only the 2023 BRFSS data.

Source: SAMHSA, Center for Behavioral Health Statistics and Quality, National Surveys on Drug Use and Health, 2023‑2024; U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, 2023‑2024.

Figure 1 Alcohol Use in the Past Month: Among People Aged 18 or Older; by State, Annual Average Percentages, BRFSS, 2023‑2024

Figure 1. Click link below to access long description.

View Figure 1 Long Description

NOTE: In 2023, Kentucky and Pennsylvania were unable to collect enough BRFSS data to meet the minimum requirements for inclusion in the 2023 annual aggregate dataset. Thus, the BRFSS estimates for Kentucky and Pennsylvania are based on only the 2024 BRFSS data. In 2024, Tennessee was unable to collect enough BRFSS data to meet the minimum requirements for inclusion in the 2024 annual aggregate dataset. Thus, the BRFSS estimate for Tennessee are based on only the 2023 BRFSS data.

Source: U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, 2023‑2024.

Figure 2 Alcohol Use in the Past Month: Among People Aged 18 or Older; by State, Annual Average Percentages, NSDUH, 2023‑2024

Figure 2. Click link below to access long description.

View Figure 2 Long Description

Source: SAMHSA, Center for Behavioral Health Statistics and Quality, National Surveys on Drug Use and Health, 2023‑2024.

Figure 3 Binge Alcohol Use in the Past Month: Among People Aged 18 or Older; by State, Annual Average Percentages, BRFSS, 2023‑2024

Figure 3. Click link below to access long description.

View Figure 3 Long Description

NOTE: In 2023, Kentucky and Pennsylvania were unable to collect enough BRFSS data to meet the minimum requirements for inclusion in the 2023 annual aggregate dataset. Thus, the BRFSS estimates for Kentucky and Pennsylvania are based on only the 2024 BRFSS data. In 2024, Tennessee was unable to collect enough BRFSS data to meet the minimum requirements for inclusion in the 2024 annual aggregate dataset. Thus, the BRFSS estimate for Tennessee are based on only the 2023 BRFSS data.

Source: U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, 2023‑2024.

Figure 4 Binge Alcohol Use in the Past Month: Among People Aged 18 or Older; by State, Annual Average Percentages, NSDUH, 2023‑2024

Figure 4. Click link below to access long description.

View Figure 4 Long Description

Source: SAMHSA, Center for Behavioral Health Statistics and Quality, National Surveys on Drug Use and Health, 2023‑2024.

Figure 5 Current Cigarette Use: Among People Aged 18 or Older; by State, Annual Average Percentages, BRFSS, 2023‑2024

Figure 5. Click link below to access long description.

View Figure 5 Long Description

NOTE: In 2023, Kentucky and Pennsylvania were unable to collect enough BRFSS data to meet the minimum requirements for inclusion in the 2023 annual aggregate dataset. Thus, the BRFSS estimates for Kentucky and Pennsylvania are based on only the 2024 BRFSS data. In 2024, Tennessee was unable to collect enough BRFSS data to meet the minimum requirements for inclusion in the 2024 annual aggregate dataset. Thus, the BRFSS estimate for Tennessee are based on only the 2023 BRFSS data.

Source: U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, 2023‑2024.

Figure 6 Cigarette Use in the Past Month: Among People Aged 18 or Older; by State, Annual Average Percentages, NSDUH, 2023‑2024

Figure 6. Click link below to access long description.

View Figure 6 Long Description

Source: SAMHSA, Center for Behavioral Health Statistics and Quality, National Surveys on Drug Use and Health, 2023‑2024.

Endnotes

1 For further details about the YRBS and the Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System (YRBSS), see CDC’s YRBSS web page.

2 For more details about NSDUH, see Section 2 of the 2024 National Survey on Drug Use and Health: Methodological Summary and Definitions report on the NSDUH Data Collection web page.

3 For more details about BRFSS in general, see CDC’s BRFSS web page.

4 The District of Columbia is referred to as a “state” in this document.

5 For more information about NSDUH’s small area estimation, see Section B of 2023‑2024 National Surveys on Drug Use and Health: Guide to State Tables and Summary of Small Area Estimation Methodology on the NSDUH Data Collection web page.

6 A PDF of the complete 2024 NSDUH questionnaire is available on the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration’s website.

7 “DK” = “don’t know” and “REF” = “refused.”

8 A PDF of the complete 2023 BRFSS questionnaire is available on CDC’s website.

9 The expected value of an estimate is defined as the mean of the observed values of the estimate over repeated samples.

10 For more information about NSDUH’s small area estimation confidence intervals, see Section A of 2023‑2024 National Surveys on Drug Use and Health: Guide to State Tables and Summary of Small Area Estimation Methodology on the NSDUH Data Collection web page.

11 The first‐order Taylor series approximation is defined as variance v of function x is approximately equal to the variance v of x multiplied by the square of the first-order derivative of function x., where the first-order derivative of function x is the first‐order derivative of function x. If function x equals the natural logarithm of x divided by 1 minus x., then the first-order derivative of function x is the reciprocal of x multiplied by 1 minus x..

12 See the NSDUH Data Collection web page for this document.

13 See Table C.6 in 2023‑2024 National Surveys on Drug Use and Health: Guide to State Tables and Summary of Small Area Estimation Methodology on the NSDUH Data Collection web page.

14 Pennsylvania BRFSS estimates are based on only 2024 data.

15 For details, see the 2024 BRFSS survey data and documentation on the CDC website.

Long Descriptions—Figures

States listed here in alphabetical order within each group were divided into five groups based on the magnitude of their percentages.

Long description, Figure 1. Figure 1 is a U.S. map. States in the highest group (57.46 to 66.71 percent) were Colorado, Connecticut, District of Columbia, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Montana, New Hampshire, South Dakota, Vermont, and Wisconsin. States in the next highest group (53.08 to 57.45 percent) were Alaska, Illinois, Iowa, Maine, Nebraska, New Jersey, North Dakota, Oregon, Rhode Island, and Washington. States in the midgroup (50.88 to 53.07 percent) were California, Delaware, Florida, Kansas, Maryland, Michigan, Nevada, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. States in the next lowest group (47.36 to 50.87 percent) were Arizona, Georgia, Hawaii, Indiana, Louisiana, Missouri, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, and Wyoming. States in the lowest group (32.45 to 47.35 percent) were Alabama, Arkansas, Idaho, Kentucky, Mississippi, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Utah, and West Virginia.

Long description end. Return to Figure 1.

Long description, Figure 2. Figure 2 is a U.S. map. States in the highest group (56.74 to 64.14 percent) were Colorado, Delaware, District of Columbia, Minnesota, Montana, New Hampshire, North Dakota, Rhode Island, Vermont, and Wisconsin. States in the next highest group (54.42 to 56.73 percent) were Connecticut, Illinois, Maine, Massachusetts, Michigan, Nebraska, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Washington, and Wyoming. States in the midgroup (51.32 to 54.41 percent) were California, Iowa, Kansas, Maryland, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, South Carolina, South Dakota, and Virginia. States in the next lowest group (45.31 to 51.31 percent) were Alaska, Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Louisiana, Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina, and Texas. States in the lowest group (31.02 to 45.30 percent) were Alabama, Arkansas, Hawaii, Idaho, Kentucky, Mississippi, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Utah, and West Virginia.

Long description end. Return to Figure 2.

Long description, Figure 3. Figure 3 is a U.S. map. States in the highest group (17.54 to 26.23 percent) were Alaska, Colorado, District of Columbia, Illinois, Iowa, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wisconsin. States in the next highest group (15.84 to 17.53 percent) were Hawaii, Kansas, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Texas, and Vermont. States in the midgroup (14.82 to 15.83 percent) were Arizona, Connecticut, Indiana, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New York, Ohio, South Carolina, Washington, and Wyoming. States in the next lowest group (13.64 to 14.81 percent) were Alabama, Arkansas, California, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Maine, New Jersey, New Mexico, and Oregon. States in the lowest group (11.57 to 13.63 percent) were Delaware, Kentucky, Maryland, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Utah, Virginia, and West Virginia.

Long description end. Return to Figure 3.

Long description, Figure 4. Figure 4 is a U.S. map. States in the highest group (24.92 to 31.61 percent) were District of Columbia, Illinois, Iowa, Louisiana, Nebraska, Nevada, North Dakota, Ohio, South Carolina, and Wisconsin. States in the next highest group (23.55 to 24.91 percent) were Colorado, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, Vermont, and Wyoming. States in the midgroup (21.68 to 23.54 percent) were Alabama, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, and Rhode Island. States in the next lowest group (20.67 to 21.67 percent) were Arizona, Indiana, Maine, Mississippi, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Oregon, Texas, and Virginia. States in the lowest group (14.67 to 20.66 percent) were Alaska, Arkansas, Hawaii, Idaho, Kentucky, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Utah, Washington, and West Virginia.

Long description end. Return to Figure 4.

Long description, Figure 5. Figure 5 is a U.S. map. States in the highest group (14.37 to 20.62 percent) were Alaska, Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and West Virginia. States in the next highest group (12.36 to 14.36 percent) were Alabama, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Nevada, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wyoming. States in the midgroup (10.72 to 12.35 percent) were Georgia, Minnesota, Montana, Nebraska, New Mexico, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Vermont, Virginia, and Wisconsin. States in the next lowest group (9.70 to 10.71 percent) were Arizona, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Idaho, Illinois, New Hampshire, New York, Oregon, and Texas. States in the lowest group (5.83 to 9.69 percent) were California, Connecticut, District of Columbia, Hawaii, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Rhode Island, Utah, and Washington.

Long description end. Return to Figure 5.

Long description, Figure 6. Figure 6 is a U.S. map. States in the highest group (18.82 to 22.69 percent) were Alabama, Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and West Virginia. States in the next highest group (16.09 to 18.81 percent) were Georgia, Indiana, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, South Carolina, and Wyoming. States in the midgroup (14.01 to 16.08 percent) were Arizona, Delaware, Illinois, Kansas, Montana, North Carolina, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, Vermont, and Wisconsin. States in the next lowest group (12.57 to 14.00 percent) were Alaska, District of Columbia, Florida, Idaho, Minnesota, Nebraska, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, Texas, and Virginia. States in the lowest group (9.04 to 12.56 percent) were California, Colorado, Connecticut, Hawaii, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, Utah, and Washington.

Long description end. Return to Figure 6.

Long Descriptions—Equations

Long description, Equation 1. Variance v of the estimate of the log-odds ratio, lor hat, is a function of three quantities: q1, q2, and q3. It is expressed as the sum of q1 and q2 minus q3. Quantity q1 is the variance v of the natural logarithm of Theta b hat, quantity q2 is the variance v of the natural logarithm of Theta n hat, and quantity q3 is 2 times the covariance between the natural logarithm of Theta b hat and the natural logarithm of Theta n hat.

Long description end. Return to Equation 1.

Long description, Equation 2. Variance v of the natural logarithm of Theta sub n hat is equal to the square of quantity q. Quantity q is the difference between capital U sub n and capital L sub n divided by 2 times 1.96.

Long description end. Return to Equation  2.

Long description, Equation 3. Variance v of pi hat sub b is equal to the square of quantity q. Quantity q is the difference between upper sub b and lower sub b divided by 2 times 1.96.

Long description end. Return to Equation  3.

Long description, Equation 4. Variance v of the natural logarithm of Theta sub b hat is equal to the variance v of the natural logarithm of pi hat sub b divided by 1 minus pi hat sub b, which is then approximately equal to the variance v of pi hat sub b multiplied by the square of quantity q. Quantity q is the reciprocal of pi hat sub b multiplied by 1 minus pi hat sub b.

Long description end. Return to Equation 4.

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